One of the excellent companies that caught in the market downdraft last week is Sun Hydraulics (SNHY). It is a small industrial company in Sarasota, Florida, that designs and manufacturers screw-in hydraulic cartridge valves and manifolds, which control force, speed and motion as integral components in fluid power systems.
SNHY has a global network with 53% of its sales overseas. It is not dependent on any one customer, with its largest customer accounting for 7% of revenues. Insiders hold hold 32% of the shares. If you listen to its last quarter earnings conference (found on the company website), you get a sense of a well managed company with a closely knit team.
Analysts predict 20% EPS growth. We assumed 18% growth in the stock selection guide and used conservative PEs. Manifest Investing rates the quality 79.9 and projected average return 19.9%. The PE to growth (PEG) ratio is approximately 1. With $149 million in revenue for the TTM, this company has room to grow. Propose we buy this company now.
For the first half of the year, our internal rate of return is +6.2% which is slightly ahead of the S&P 500 (+6.0%). See portfolio performance report for the first half of the year. Our challenge is to do much better than the S&P 500.
Portfolio Activity
We made some adjustments to our portfolio this quarter to improve portfolio quality and increase diversification. In the energy sector, we replaced Occidental Petroleum and ChevronTexaco with ConocoPhillips and Helmerich & Payne. This split our energy holdings between a mega-cap energy company that both produces and refines, and a quality company that provides contract drilling services to oil and gas producers.
In the financial sectors, we replaced Commerce Bank and Capital One Financial with American International Group. (There is nothing inherently wrong with CBH and COF, although COF has a low return on assets; we just wanted realign our financial stocks.) We exchanged East West Bancorp for Wells Fargo & Co.
We added to our position in Getty Images, Bed, Bath & Beyond, and Amgen. Unfortunately, BBBY reported mediocre earnings after we increased our position. This clipped our overall portfolio earnings for the quarter a little. See chart. However, BBBY remains a high quality company.
Finally, we added information technology holdings with new positions in Microsoft and SAP. We sold UTStarcom. All these transaction together raised the quality rating of the portfolio to 72.2 (out of 100 with 65 being excellent) and the projected average return to 13%.
Most Recent Quarter
Our biggest winners for the quarter were Intel (+24.7%), Maxim Integrated Products (+14.2%), and our energy stocks, Occidental Petroleum (+16.2%) and Chevron Texaco (+10.0%). We had several stocks that did not earn their keep this quarter, Bed, Bath & Beyond (-12.4%), Brown & Co. (-6.8%), Stryker (-4.9%), Synovus (-4.5%), and Walgreen (-5.0%).
The Past 12 Months
It is always interesting to look back over the past year. We had some outstanding winners,Stryker (+50.4%), Factset Research (+45.3%), Chevron Texaco (+34.1%), and Jack Henry & Assoc. (+32.2%). Two stocks disappointed, Amgen (-15.5%) and Brown & Co. (-13.3%).
Looking Forward
Not being a market prognosticator, I’ll leave it for others to predict where the stock market is heading. Morningstar had a very readable outlook, that included a sector by sector analysis. Morningstar observes that some of the mega-cap stocks, like Walmart and Johnson& Johnson are very cheap.