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	<title>Moose Pond Investors &#187; LOW</title>
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		<title>Lowe’s Companies (LOW)</title>
		<link>http://stockherd.com/moosepond/2005/05/lowe%e2%80%99s-companies-inc/</link>
		<comments>http://stockherd.com/moosepond/2005/05/lowe%e2%80%99s-companies-inc/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 May 2005 04:08:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[LOW]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://stockherd.com/moosepond/?p=49</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[SSG and PERT A (05-06-2005) &#124;  Google Stocks &#124;  Company Website

Growth. Value Line (8 April 2005 report) projects revenue growth for LOW to be 14.5% and EPS growth to be 17%.  Historic sales growth over the past 10 years has been between 18% and 20%.
Quality. Two of the key indicators of quality [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p class="box"><a href="http://stockherd.com/moosepond/files/ssg/low_20050506.pdf">SSG and PERT A (05-06-2005)</a> |  <a href="http://www.google.com/search?sourceid=navclient&amp;ie=UTF-8&amp;oe=UTF-8&amp;q=stocks%3A+low" onclick="pageTracker._trackPageview('/outgoing/www.google.com/search?sourceid=navclient_amp_ie=UTF-8_amp_oe=UTF-8_amp_q=stocks_3A+low&amp;referer=');">Google Stocks</a> |  <a href="http://www.lowes.com/lowes/lkn?action=topicSelect&amp;topic=aboutLowes" onclick="pageTracker._trackPageview('/outgoing/www.lowes.com/lowes/lkn?action=topicSelect_amp_topic=aboutLowes&amp;referer=');">Company Website</a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.lowes.com/lowes/lkn?action=topicSelect&amp;topic=aboutLowes" onclick="pageTracker._trackPageview('/outgoing/www.lowes.com/lowes/lkn?action=topicSelect_amp_topic=aboutLowes&amp;referer=');"><img style="margin: 10px 5px 0px 10px; float: right" title="Lowe's Companies" src="http://stockherd.com/moosepond/files/img/low.gif" border="0" alt="Lowe's Companies" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Growth.</strong> Value Line (8 April 2005 report) projects revenue growth for LOW to be 14.5% and EPS growth to be 17%.  Historic sales growth over the past 10 years has been between 18% and 20%.</p>
<p><strong>Quality.</strong> Two of the key indicators of quality management, pretax profit margin and return on equity have shown steady increases over the past 10 years.  See table from Part 2 of the stock selection guide.</p>
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<p align="center"><a href="http://stockherd.com/moosepond/files/ssg/low_20050506.pdf"><img style="margin: 0px" title="Click for Full SSG and PERT Graph" src="http://stockherd.com/moosepond/files/img/low_part2.png" border="0" alt="current Snapshot" /></a></p>
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<p>The Robertson Quality Rating for LOW is 75.6 calculated as follows:<br />
Value Line Financial Strength of A+ = 22.5<br />
Earnings Predictability of 95 = 95 / 4 = 23.8<br />
Projected Sales growth = (14.5 / 11.8) * (25 /2) = 15.4<br />
Projected Profit Margins = (10.6 / 9.4) * (25 / 2) = 14.0</p>
<p><strong>Valuation.</strong> 5-year projected EPS is 6.07.  With a high PE of 25.1, projected high price is $152.40.  With a low PE of 16.3, projected low price is 44.8.  Using 25% / 50% / 25% zoning,   LOW (currently $53.54) is buy below $71.70.</p>
<p><strong>Negatives.</strong> LOW currently has a slightly negative free cash flow (cash flow form operations &#8211; capital expenditures).   Home Deport (HD) its primary competitor has a positive free cash flow.</p>
<p><strong>What Others Are Saying.</strong> A recent <a href="http://www.fool.com/news/commentary/2005/commentary05050504.htm" onclick="pageTracker._trackPageview('/outgoing/www.fool.com/news/commentary/2005/commentary05050504.htm?referer=');"><strong>Motley Fool</strong></a> article discusses Home Depot and Lowe&#8217;s Companies.  The author finds both HD and LOW attractive but prefers Home Depot as the market leader and notes it has superior margins and returns, and a lower relative price tag (with comparable bottom-line growth). <a href="http://quote.morningstar.com/Quote.html?hsection=quote&amp;ticker=ms&amp;TimeFrame=" onclick="pageTracker._trackPageview('/outgoing/quote.morningstar.com/Quote.html?hsection=quote_amp_ticker=ms_amp_TimeFrame=&amp;referer=');">Morningstar</a> rates LOW with four stars, below average business risk, fair value estimate of $62 and a wide economic moat.<br />
<span id="more-49"></span><br />
<strong>Company Description.</strong> Lowe’s Companies, Inc. operates a chain of building materials and home improvement superstores in 44 states. Average store size (sq. ft.): 116,000 for large prototype and 94,000 for smaller store format. Major product categories: appliances, 11%; lumber/ plywood, 8%; outdoor fashion, 7%; millwork, 7%; nursery, 6%; flooring, 6%; fashion electrical, 6%; fashion plumbing, 6%; tools, 6%; hardware, 5%; building materials, 5%. Acquired Eagle Hardware, 4/99. 2003 deprec. rate: 5.2%. Has about 147,000 employees, 19,277 stockholders. Cap’l Res. &amp; Mgmt. owns 10.5% of common stock; State St., 8.2%; FMR, 5.0%. (4/04 Proxy). Chrmn. &amp; CEO: Robert L. Tillman. Inc.: NC. Addr.: Box 1111, North Wilkesboro, NC 28656.  Internet: <a href="http://www.lowes.com" onclick="pageTracker._trackPageview('/outgoing/www.lowes.com?referer=');">www.lowes.com</a>.</p>
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