Patterson Cos. (PDCO)
SSG and PERT A | Google “Stocks: PDCO” | Company Website
Patterson has had a somewhat mediocre year but the company seems to be on track to improve sales and earnings in fiscal year 2007. (PDCO’s fiscal year begins on April 1.) PDCO has invested in sales and marketing. With its year-end earnings report, PDCO gave earnings per share guidance for 2007 of $1.61-1.64 (about 13% growth).
Growth. Value Line projects revenue growth of about 12% while Morningstar projects 13%. The revised stock selection guide uses 12%. Future growth will come from a combination of internal growth and small acquisitions. Internally, PDCO sets a goal for growth of 4% above the market. Its dental business is currently growing faster than its other lines of business.
Quality. PDCO remains a high quality stock (although Morningstar gives it a narrow moat). Manifest Investing rates quality at 71.3 (out of 100). Value Line rates PDCO’s financial strength an “A” and it earnings predictability 100.
Valuation. Projected average return is 13.5%. PDCO has always sold at relative high PE. Its current PE is about 24. The stock selection guide uses an average future PE of 24.
We purchased PDCO in March 2003 and have enjoyed an annualized return of 12.5%. It represents 2.25% of the portfolio. This would be a good time to add to our position.
