Semi-Annual Report
For the first half of the year, our internal rate of return is +6.2% which is slightly ahead of the S&P 500 (+6.0%). See portfolio performance report for the first half of the year. Our challenge is to do much better than the S&P 500.
Portfolio Activity
We made some adjustments to our portfolio this quarter to improve portfolio quality and increase diversification. In the energy sector, we replaced Occidental Petroleum and ChevronTexaco with ConocoPhillips and Helmerich & Payne. This split our energy holdings between a mega-cap energy company that both produces and refines, and a quality company that provides contract drilling services to oil and gas producers.
In the financial sectors, we replaced Commerce Bank and Capital One Financial with American International Group. (There is nothing inherently wrong with CBH and COF, although COF has a low return on assets; we just wanted realign our financial stocks.) We exchanged East West Bancorp for Wells Fargo & Co.
We added to our position in Getty Images, Bed, Bath & Beyond, and Amgen. Unfortunately, BBBY reported mediocre earnings after we increased our position. This clipped our overall portfolio earnings for the quarter a little. See chart. However, BBBY remains a high quality company.
Finally, we added information technology holdings with new positions in Microsoft and SAP. We sold UTStarcom. All these transaction together raised the quality rating of the portfolio to 72.2 (out of 100 with 65 being excellent) and the projected average return to 13%.
Most Recent Quarter
Our biggest winners for the quarter were Intel (+24.7%), Maxim Integrated Products (+14.2%), and our energy stocks, Occidental Petroleum (+16.2%) and Chevron Texaco (+10.0%). We had several stocks that did not earn their keep this quarter, Bed, Bath & Beyond (-12.4%), Brown & Co. (-6.8%), Stryker (-4.9%), Synovus (-4.5%), and Walgreen (-5.0%).
The Past 12 Months
It is always interesting to look back over the past year. We had some outstanding winners,Stryker (+50.4%), Factset Research (+45.3%), Chevron Texaco (+34.1%), and Jack Henry & Assoc. (+32.2%). Two stocks disappointed, Amgen (-15.5%) and Brown & Co. (-13.3%).
Looking Forward
Not being a market prognosticator, I’ll leave it for others to predict where the stock market is heading. Morningstar had a very readable outlook, that included a sector by sector analysis. Morningstar observes that some of the mega-cap stocks, like Walmart and Johnson& Johnson are very cheap.
SAP AG (SAP)
SSG and PERT | Google Finance | Company Website
We purchased an initial position in SAP AG on June 13, 2007. Here is the stock selection guide we used for the purchase decision.
Wells Fargo & Company (WFC)
SSG and PERT | Google Finance | Company Website
We purchased an initial position in Wells Fargo & Company on June 13, 2007. This replaces Commerce Bancorp. Here is the stock selection guide we used for the purchase decision.
American International Group (AIG)
SSG and PERT | Google Finance | Company Website
We purchased an initial position in American International Group on June 13, 2007. This replaces Capital One Financial in the financial sector of our portfolio. Here is the stock selection guide we used for the purchase decision.
Microsoft (MSFT)
SSG and PERT | Google Finance | Company Website
We purchased an initial position in Microsoft on June 13, 2007. Here is the stock selection guide we used for the purchase decision.
Portfolio Transactions
We made the following changes to our portfolio:
- Added to our positions in Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) and Amgen (AMGN).
- We sold Commerce Bancorp (CBH) and Capital One Financial (COF). There will be replaced with American International Group (AIG) and Wells Fargo (WFC). That will keep the same exposure to financials but with better stocks that have a higher projected average return.
- We purchased Microsoft (MSFT) and SAP AG (SAP).
- We are replacing Occidental Petroleum (OXY) and ChevronTexaxo (CVX) with Conoco Phillips (COP) and Helmerich & Payne (HP). These keep about the same exposure to the energy sector but split between a mega cap oil company and an oil services company. Both companies pay dividends (COP 2.1% and HP 0.6%).
All of these trades together will increase the overall quality and projected average return of the portfolio. See Manifest Investing dashboard. We are still a little ahead of the S&P 500 for the year.